AGP Executive Report

Food Security Gains (Nigeria): Nigeria’s agriculture ministry says food prices for key staples have fallen by up to 50% over the past two years, helped by seed and agro-input support and value-chain push across crops like rice, maize, wheat, cassava, soybeans and oil palm. Water for Irrigation (India): Gujarat CM Bhupendra Patel approved early release of Narmada canal water for farmers starting June 11, ahead of schedule. Export Boost (India): Assam’s Tezpur litchi shipped its first export consignment to Dubai, building on its 2014 GI tag and opening new returns for growers. Climate Pressure on Livestock (Ghana): In northern Ghana, drought, pasture loss and bushfires are pushing cattle and other animals to strip baobab trees for feed, highlighting a worsening forage crisis. Farm Risk & Insurance (South Africa): After major Eastern/Western Cape floods, industry groups warn climate volatility is now an operational hazard, with only about one-third of commercial farmers reportedly insured. Tech for Farmers (UAE/UK): Dubai’s GigaFarm says it will turn food waste into production in a closed-loop vertical system, while a UK startup is rolling out “AgroPulse AI” via WhatsApp to automate farm admin. Market Watch (Grains): Soybeans hover near a four-month low as U.S. weather looks favorable and China buying remains uncertain; corn and wheat edge higher. Local Impact (Wisconsin): Northeast Wisconsin partners say water quality is improving in the Fox-Wolf watershed, though nutrient runoff and harmful algal blooms remain concerns.

Resource Pressure: Philippines’ BFAR Bicol is investigating a sharp decline in Sorsogon Bay’s pen shell (“baloko”), with officials pointing to overharvesting by divers using air compressors and warning that rising culinary tourism demand may be adding strain. Harvest & Food Safety: Kansas State University shares field-meal safety tips for wheat harvest—wash hands with soap (sanitizer won’t work on dirty hands), keep raw foods separate, cook poultry to 165°F, and chill food in batches. Pest & Crop Loss: Florida citrus growers are still battling an invasive insect that has devastated the industry, shrinking production from past highs to a projected 12.2 million boxes this year. Markets & Climate: Ghana warns that climate-driven rain failures are cutting cocoa and farm incomes, while farmers also want a regional grain trading platform to prevent last season’s unsold harvest from locking up money needed for planting. Animal Health: India’s Nagaland reports an African Swine Fever outbreak in Thizama village, triggering movement bans and containment zones. Farm Finance: USDA projects mounting farm bankruptcies as costs rise and debt grows, adding pressure to already-stressed producers. Policy & Trade: Ghana launches a $3.5bn AgriConnect compact aimed at creating 2.6 million jobs and boosting rice investment.

Soil & Input Guidance: A district collector in Nagapattinam urged farmers to test soil before planting and follow soil-health-card fertilizer recommendations, warning that indiscriminate chemicals can harm fertility, raise pests and increase lodging. Weather Risk for Farms: Tanzania’s meteorology experts say a developing El Niño could bring above-normal rains later in 2026, boosting production but also raising flood and disease risks—so farmers and livestock keepers should prepare now. Climate Alarm: The UN’s weather agency says El Niño has returned in the Pacific, with sea temperatures running about 6°C above average and a possible “super El Niño” heat spike between June and November 2026. Fertilizer Market Watch: Potassium sulphate is forecast to jump from $5.88B (2025) to $9.56B (2030), while humic biostimulants are projected to reach $1.63B by 2030 as growers chase soil health and sustainable inputs. Farm Safety & Security: In Zamfara, bandits killed three farmers after they refused illegal taxes, highlighting rising violence along farming corridors. Ag Tech & Productivity: China’s “Black Soil Granary” program reports gains in soil organic matter and reduced erosion using precision practices. Markets & Harvests: Bangladesh reported record onion output in Rangpur and said Boro paddy production is running at 327.1m tons during procurement.

Monsoon Watch (India): Telangana is bracing for southwest monsoon rains between June 10-12, with two sea “swirls” over the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal expected to pull the weather inland. Climate Risk (India): With El Niño likely to weaken the monsoon, analysts warn the bigger agricultural hit may land in rabi crops, alongside potential fertilizer pressure. Crop & Harvest Updates (Japan): Japan’s Nanko plum harvest in Wakayama is down for the third straight year after a warm winter hurt pollination and hail reduced yields, though smaller fruit are growing larger. Farm Inputs & Costs (US): Indiana grain farmer Deidra Roell says market volatility and high input costs are making it hard to break even, even as crops emerge. Biofuels Debate (India): India’s E85 ethanol rollout is drawing backlash as critics say lower mileage could erase “cheaper fuel” savings for drivers while boosting ethanol interests. Water & Irrigation (Bangladesh): Rajshahi’s Padma Barrage project is pitched as a game-changer to store monsoon water, cut groundwater dependence, and protect irrigation and salinity control. Labour & Safety (Spain): A Moroccan workers’ union is urging stronger protections after a reported heatstroke death of a seasonal strawberry worker in Huelva. Pests (Australia): Feral pigs are tearing up hay paddocks across inland NSW as dry conditions push them to forage and compete with livestock. Policy & Markets (Fiji): Fiji’s opposition leader welcomed a guaranteed $85/ton cane price for 2026 but says farmers still need clarity on cane payments and cost relief. Food Security (Global): A new warning highlights how simultaneous heat stress in major exporting regions could raise global food prices and threaten breadbasket stability.

Farm-to-market roads: Zamboanga del Sur secured P345M for 2026 farm-to-market projects, aiming to cut transport costs and boost market access for farmers. Water-smart farming: Abra lawmaker JB Bernos urged faster farmland leveling to improve irrigation efficiency as El Niño drought fears grow, alongside rainwater harvesting and solar-powered irrigation. Cotton push in India: Maharashtra officials expect cotton sowing to rise 10–15% in the 2026-27 kharif season as higher prices lure farmers away from soybean. El Niño and flood timing: A new global analysis warns climate change is shifting when major floods hit, which could disrupt planning for agriculture and water storage. Security hits planting season: Bandits killed farmers preparing fields in Zamfara, raising fears of lower harvests and higher food prices. Food safety: Kenya’s KALRO flagged aflatoxin levels in cereals far above safety limits, stressing the need for cheaper testing. Exports: APEDA flagged off Jharkhand’s first commercial fresh mango shipment to the UK (1.5 tonnes), backed by farmer producer company training. AgriPV in Odisha: Odisha plans an Agricultural Photovoltaics policy by 2027 to let farmers earn from solar without hurting crop output. Land and conflict: Malawi’s KAMA cane growers face a three-day eviction threat from landowners alleging illegal occupation.

U.S. Farm Politics: President Trump rallied Wisconsin farmers and promised lower fertilizer costs as he pushed his agriculture agenda ahead of midterms. Ag Policy & Data: Nebraska became the first state to pass a law protecting farm and ranch agricultural data privacy (LB 525). Specialty Crops Push: A Washington-focused farm bill effort seeks $1B for specialty crops, arguing the region’s apples, berries, hops and cherries get overlooked in federal funding. Land Regularisation: Himachal Pradesh cabinet approved a policy to regularise certain government-land encroachments, including up to 20 bighas used for agriculture/horticulture, potentially benefiting 1.67 lakh people. Crop Disruption: Maharashtra reported storm damage affecting about 1 lakh acres, while Texas researchers warn warm winter “chill hours” may cut peach and berry yields. Food Supply Pressure: Nigeria’s tomato prices in Anambra reportedly more than doubled after persistent rainfall and flooding disrupted production and transport. Research & Inputs: Canada’s organic research plots at Swift Current were torn up after federal cuts, raising alarms for organic growers and lost long-term data. Technology & Safety: New rules highlight strict mobile-phone bans for farm vehicle drivers, with penalties and insurance risks. Biofuel Mandates: U.S. biodiesel/renewable diesel producers are ramping up to meet higher EPA renewable fuel blending obligations for 2026-27.

Fertilizer Pressure & Market Power: Iowa farmers are warning that fertilizer costs are crushing margins as a handful of big firms dominate key inputs, pushing the “bushels needed to buy fertilizer” higher each year. Extreme Weather Hits Crops: Italy’s northern and central regions are reeling from violent hailstorms and heavy rain, with major damage to cereals, fruit and vineyards; in Dominica, a bushfire destroyed vegetables and key water storage tanks. Farm Labor & Inputs: Ireland farmers are bracing for pesticide changes as Belgium withdraws the bean fungicide Cobalt (with grace periods), while Kenya’s weather outlook urges moisture-saving practices like mulching and rainwater harvesting. Pest & Biosecurity: Australia’s feral pig boom is sparking calls for stronger incentives as hunters say populations are “flying out of proportion.” Policy & Food Supply Risk: UK cold-chain groups warn food security is an “immediate national priority” amid fuel, cyber and extreme-weather threats. Land & Rights: Cambodia residents are pushing authorities over alleged land grabs and crop destruction tied to large concessions. Climate & Water Stress: Bangladesh’s Rajshahi faces worsening water stress as monsoon rainfall drops and temperatures rise.

Farm Finance Boost (Pakistan): Askari Bank and Verdora Ventures launched a Rs250m farmer financing facility to back high-value crops like tomatoes, turmeric and chillies through the farming cycle. Soil Health Push (India): Arunachal Pradesh’s Khet Bachao Abhiyan urged farmers to protect soil and cut chemical fertilizer use via natural farming and vermicomposting. Youth & Land-Use Tension (Australia): Opposition grew over plans for a youth “night space” on an isolated former farm site, with farmers warning it could undermine an agricultural precinct. Fuel Cost Relief (Ireland): A Fuel Support Scheme for specialist horticulture opened, offering once-off payments for growers of tomatoes, cucumbers, mushrooms, strawberries, chillies, herbs and hydroponic lettuce. Weather Whiplash (US Midwest): Wisconsin farmers welcomed rain after extreme dryness, while southeast growers described a swing from record-wet April to record-dry May. Crop Risk & Pivot (US): A Hellam orchard is switching from fruit to sweet corn after a late freeze wiped out most blossoms. Pest Watch (US): Missouri’s first Japanese beetle detections prompted soybean and corn scouting ahead of peak activity. Market Watch (US grains): Soybeans and corn slid again as weather stayed favorable but export demand remained soft.

El Niño Watch for Farmers: Philippines House Speaker Faustino Dy III urged government to prepare now for an 80% chance of El Niño by August, warning of below-normal rainfall and drought risk to farmers and food security. Pest Scouting in Row Crops: University of Missouri’s Pest Monitoring Network reported first Japanese beetle captures of 2026 and urged growers to scout soybean and corn over the next few weeks as peak activity nears. Input Costs and Subsidies: Benue State (Nigeria) announced subsidised fertiliser at N28,000 per bag, with the state covering the balance to protect farmers ahead of the season. Water Stress and Monsoon Delays: Maharashtra dam levels fell to 27% and officials warned that delayed monsoon and rapid evaporation could force water prioritisation as kharif sowing approaches. Wildlife Damage Relief Gaps: Nepal farmers in Madhesh say wildlife crop losses are common, but compensation is hard to access due to heavy paperwork, limited covered animals, and low payouts. Soil, Health, and Chemicals: UK researchers warned that agricultural fungicides may contribute to fungal antimicrobial resistance, while California regulators found PFAS-contaminated waterways in about half of tested samples. Livestock Under Drought Pressure: USDA data shows drought is tightening feed supplies, with large shares of cattle and hay inventory in drought-affected areas. Agrifood Resilience Funding: AfDB and WFP launched an $87m Sudan project to restore production, cut post-harvest losses, and support farmers in rainfed areas.

Wheat harvest & mechanisation: China’s Henan province is in full wheat harvest mode as reapers move through fields ahead of late-season planting. Punjab farm upgrade: Pakistan’s Punjab is pushing mechanisation with the Green Tractor Scheme (subsidies for thousands of tractors), interest-free loans for high-tech machinery, and Super Seeder support to cut rice residue burning. Drought pressure: Dry conditions are stressing growers in Maryland’s Wicomico County, while Asia-wide planting is being disrupted by El Niño-linked heat and below-normal rains, raising food-supply worries. Flood losses: Afghanistan’s Baghlan says floods have destroyed over 70,000 jeribs of farmland, wiping out crops and forcing emergency support calls. Livestock feed crunch: A feed-and-forage crisis is hitting Barbados as pasture fires burn grazing lands and hay prices jump. Farm progress updates: Saskatchewan reports seeding at about 80% provincewide, up sharply from last week, though still behind averages. Market signals: In Ireland’s Elphin Mart, weanling prices lifted on exporter demand, with top-quality bulls fetching higher per-kilo rates. Disease & crop protection: UF researchers are working on tools to help strawberry growers time disease management, focusing on crown rot and related threats. Trade & input costs: USDA is facing scrutiny after a New World Screwworm detection in Texas, while broader input-cost pressure continues to squeeze farmers.

Migrant Farmworker Tragedy in Italy: Italy’s PM Giorgia Meloni condemned the “horrific murder” of four migrants burned alive in a minivan in Calabria; police arrested two Pakistani nationals, and survivors said the victims were returning from fruit-picking. Conservation & Local Farming Wins: Quiet Creek Herb Farm in Pennsylvania took a PA Wilds Conservation Stewardship Award, highlighting nature-focused rural business. Wheat & Climate Pressure: Uzbekistan showcased wheat landscape transformation work at a GEF assembly, while China’s wheat harvest faced rain damage that could downgrade up to 7% of output. Monsoon Watch: India’s southwest monsoon reached Kerala three days late as El Niño risks loom, with farmers bracing for impacts on planting and food prices. Farm Economics & Inputs: MSU warned fertilizer costs are rising with global shocks; Montana also debated pesticide warning-label rules in the farm bill. Water & Food Safety: An Iowa report linked water pollution to health risks, and a separate piece warned untreated liquid waste can raise cancer risk. Market Moves: The Philippines shipped its first commercial fresh carabao mango load to Canada (1 metric ton to Toronto). Storage Investment: Pakistan launched a Rs7.1bn agri-storage financing facility to cut post-harvest losses.

Agricultural Policy & Food Security: China unveiled a 2026-30 plan to speed agricultural and rural modernization, aiming to lift grain production capacity to about 725 million metric tons by 2030 while pushing tech and tighter urban-rural integration. Input Costs & Trade: The U.S. eased tariffs on select farm and industrial equipment, cutting rates from 25% to 15% through end-2027 to lower machinery costs for producers. Pollination Risk: Australia’s bee industry warns varroa mite could wipe out at least 60% of hives, creating a near 300,000-beehive shortfall for peak pollination in August. Farm Finance Mood: A Rural Mainstreet Index survey shows rural business conditions slipping again as farm income weakens and input costs stay high. Weather & Water Stress: Farmers in Utah say drought worries are lasting beyond this season; in Ohio, orchards report crop loss after spring freezes and swings in rain and cold. On-the-Ground Support: India launched the Khet Bachao Abhiyan to promote soil health and sustainable nutrient management, including vermicompost and azolla. Fertilizer Dependence: A U.S. fertilizer supply-chain report highlights heavy reliance on imports—especially potassium, largely from Canada. Livestock Health: Meghalaya tightened African Swine Fever containment after new outbreaks in multiple districts. Nutrient Runoff: A guide on reducing phosphorus loss via overland flow points to “critical source areas” where small spots drive big water pollution.

Precision Ag & Soil Mapping: Missouri’s Hundley-Whaley Extension upgrades include grid soil sampling across about 120 acres, helping researchers and farmers fine-tune fertilizer and lime plans. Smart Harvesting in Crops: China’s Anhui wheat harvest is using drones, field monitors, and smart screens on harvesters to track conditions and improve timing. Farm Tech for Fruit: Israel’s Tevel is deploying tethered flying robots in orchards to pick only perfectly ripe fruit, aiming to ease global labor shortages. Livestock & Policy Fight: Congress is weighing a farm bill move that could roll back state animal welfare rules, targeting California’s Proposition 12 standards for gestation crates. Farm Labor Costs: A new H-2A wage calculation rule is lowering minimum pay in California, with potential big savings for growers but facing legal challenges. Weather Pressure on Harvests: Heatwave conditions in Bangladesh’s north are slowing paddy and maize harvesting and cutting labor earnings, while El Niño risk is also pushing food price fears in Europe. Water & Irrigation Support: Malaysia’s padi areas get RM850,000 for tube wells to fix dry-season water shortages. Aquaculture Boost: India’s East Singhbhum plans model ponds and cage culture fish farming at Burudih Dam to raise output and rural incomes. Soil Health Funding: Minnesota awarded $4.7M in grants for soil-health equipment, backing no-till and cover-crop tools.

Water Rights & Drought Reality: Colorado’s Grand Junction-area irrigation districts could assert senior “Cameo call” Colorado River rights, but are instead curtailing to keep upstream users whole—yet the Historic User Pool is far from filling, raising stakes for Western Slope water planning. Loan Access for Small Farmers: Bangladesh Bank told banks to prioritize “Farmer Smart Card” holders and rain-damaged marginal and landless farmers for low-interest agri loans, while still protecting non-card farmers from being shut out. Crop Progress in Kashmir: Paddy sowing has picked up across Kashmir Valley as farmers transplant seedlings in waterlogged fields, buoyed by adequate canal and stream water. Coastal Flood Threat: In Fiji’s Vatukarasa, villagers are again calling for a seawall as rising seas, cyclones and high tides keep flooding farms and destroying food crops. Fertilizer & Input Pressure: Iowa growers are bracing for higher nitrogen prices this fall, while Missouri research highlights how flooding and waterlogging can quickly cut yields and nitrogen uptake. Trade Costs for Machinery: Trump’s tariff cut on imported agricultural equipment (25% to 15%) aims to ease equipment cost pressure for farmers and dealers. Food Price Risk: Rice prices in Asia jumped sharply in May, with analysts pointing to El Niño risk and higher diesel and fertilizer costs. Soil & Low-Cost Fertility: JADAM “fertilizer tea” is gaining attention as a nutrient-rich, compost-based approach, alongside broader soil-health guidance. Digital Farming Push: Albania unveiled an AI virtual assistant (“YLLI”) to guide farmers in real time and publish market prices.

Urban Farming Push: Las Piñas City is running free hydroponics training and handing out seedlings and seeds to help residents grow food in limited spaces. Fertiliser Crunch: In Kenya’s North Rift, maize farmers are camping at the Eldoret NCPB depot after a shortage of topdressing fertiliser (CAN) threatens yields, with blame pointing to supply and transport costs. Land & Farming Rights: In Malawi, Nantipwiri farming families say bulldozers and court rulings are threatening their ability to plant after a land dispute tied to a 2013 land allocation. Farm Labour Mobility: Greece is implementing an agreement to bring up to 5,000 seasonal Egyptian workers for harvests as labour shortages bite. Climate Shock Watch: The UN warns El Niño is likely this summer, raising the odds of extreme heat and weather stress for crops. Ag Tech & Finance: India’s Aquapulse raised Rs 45 crore to expand shrimp farm technology, disease monitoring, and exports. Market Signals: Chicago grain futures slipped as improved US weather lifted crop outlooks, while global supply pressure weighed on prices. Trade & Exports: Kenya’s flower exports hit Sh143.78bn in 2025, supporting jobs and rural livelihoods.

Highland Vegetable Crisis (Philippines): In Atok, Benguet, a rescue-buy effort (Project UBBO) helped 146 farmers move about 79,236 kilos of vegetables after a glut pushed farm-gate prices as low as P4/kg, with organizers urging fair, cost-covering pricing and longer-term reforms. Wheat Under Pressure (Australia & Syria): Australia forecasts wheat output down 26% to 26.7 million tonnes as dry weather and higher fuel/fertiliser costs bite; in eastern Syria, Euphrates flooding has submerged fields and disrupted irrigation, leaving farmers with destroyed wheat and no clear timeline for recovery. Market Access for Garlic (India): South Kashmir’s new dedicated garlic open market in Pulwama is drawing daily arrivals near 100 tonnes, improving price discovery and reducing reliance on middlemen. Farmgate Fairness Fight (Bangladesh): Rajshahi mango growers say traders still use “dholan” inflated weights (52–54 kg paid as 40 kg), despite moves toward kilogram-based trading. Input Costs & Policy Signals (U.S./Iowa): Iowa lawmakers signed agriculture and water-quality bills, including the Farm to Faucet plan, aiming to cut nitrate pollution while reshaping funding for rural water upgrades. Supply Chain Shift (U.S. grain): CHS plans to close or sell the Kasson, Ostrander and Wykoff grain elevators after the 2026 harvest, raising concerns for small local farmers.